GAO, DOJ, Fuzzy Math Used In Reports; More Gun Control?

False and misleading data are being used against gun owners.

False and misleading data are being used against gun owners.

The Obama Administration seems to be at it again.  This time though they are backing up their fuzzy math with fuzzy, real sounding reports.  As I’ve read these reports what has become clear is that Obama’s agenda to confiscate arms and ammunition is still at the forefront and that other agencies are working hard to make a case for gun confiscation and an end to our 2nd Amendment guarantees.  Our RIGHT to own guns is Creator given, not up for debate or to legislation by Congress.  But I fear there is a war brewing if the agendas of those in Congress are not careful.

The reports I am referring to are:GAO report: FIREARMS TRAFFICKING
U.S. Efforts to Combat Arms Trafficking to Mexico Face Planning and Coordination Challenges
which then led me to the DOJ report: National Drug Threat Assessment The GAO report is only 10 pages long and an easy read. So is the DOJ report. However, the DOJ report mixes in things like those seeking treatment for prescription drug abuse which hardly counts as drug trafficking.  The GAO report is based on the DOJ report.

The common theme of both documents is the *illicit gun trafficking* from these united States to the country of Mexico and the drugs which fuel the Cartels.  This makes gun owners directly or indirectly responsible for the guns finding their way into Mexico.  The accuracy of the numbers used and the actual numbers of guns finding their way to Mexico from these united States are misleading to say the least.  Yet BATFE is continuing to misquote the numbers by way of fuzzy math and of guns finding their way to Mexico.  According to Gun Facts:

Myth: The United States is the source of 90% of drug

syndicate guns in Mexico

Fact: This is an often misquoted data point from the BATFE, who said 90% of the firearms that have been interdicted in transport to Mexico or recovered in Mexico came from the United States. Thus the 90% number includes only the firearms American and Mexican police stop in transport.70 Mexico’s Massive Illegal weapons coming from China and the U.S., American Chronicle, March 14, 2009

Fact: The original number was derived from the number of firearms successfully traced, not the total number of firearms. For 2007-2008, Mexican officials recovered approximately 29,000 firearms from crime scenes and asked for BATFE traces of 11,000. Of those, the BATFE could trace roughly 6,000 of which 5,114 were confirmed to have come from the United States. Thus, 83% of the crime guns recovered in Mexico have not been or cannot be traced to America.71  The Myth of 90 Percent, Fox News, April 2, 2009, BATFE data distilled by William La Jeunesse and Maxim Lott

It is sad that we have to put up with these political agendas directed by the acting POTUS and Congress. However, when you have the facts they are easy to debunk. What worries me is if Congress believes the lies and tries to do something about gun ownership in these united States.   Fortunately there are many staunch gun supporters in Congress.  We can only hope they are not swayed by these misleading numbers.

In a previous article I wrote where I *Questioned the Guns flowing into Mexico,*I found some hard facts to debunk all the rhetoric that has been floating around the D.C. area.  The GAO report doesn’t even mention these facts which have been proven and are based on reports from the government itself.  It amazes me what passes for logic these days, but then, we are talking government agencies, Congress, the acting POTUS, and fuzzy math along with personal agendas.

Experts agree on gun controlA News with Views article was the first to alert me to these misleading reports.  I always check things out for myself though as I have learned, the hard way, that you cannot trust everything you read on the internet.  So I dug up the reports myself and read them.  I believe that personal knowledge is more important than taking someone else’s word for it.  This way I can be sure of what I’m talking about and not just running off at the mouth.

Mexico has its own agendas.  They have very strict gun laws there.  According to Gun Facts, Mexico rates 4th from the top of the top 10 countries having crimes committed with guns.  (see page 19 on GunFacts 5.1)  These united States don’t even figure into that top 10.  However, in order to ban guns or even to force stricter gun controls on people, the government has to lie or mislead where gun facts are concerned.  According to Wikipedia, Mexico’s gun laws contain the following:

Gun licensing and legislation for Mexican citizens

Ley Federal de Armas de Fuego y Explosivos (Federal Law of Firearms and Explosives)

Generally, citizens are restricted by law to:

* pistolas (handguns) of .380 Auto or .38 Special revolvers or smaller in either case,
* escopetas (shotguns) of 12 gauge or smaller, with barrels longer than 25 inches, and
* rifles (rifles) bolt action and semi-auto.

Handguns in calibers bigger than those mentioned above are forbidden from private ownership.

Examples of firearms that are legal for citizens to own include .380 ACP pistols (such as the Glock 25); .38 Special revolvers, 12 gauge shotguns (no short-barreled shotguns are allowed) and rifles in any caliber up to .30 caliber.

Permits for the transportation and use of such non-military caliber firearms are issued for one year terms by SEDENA (Secretaría de la Defensa Nacional) and may be applied for up to 10 firearms, total, for each designated and planned use that is legally authorized. These uses may include hunting or shooting at a club or national competition. Permits are very easy to obtain, but may be only obtained by citizens belonging to a shooting club.

There is only one legally authorized retail outlet in Mexico City: UCAM (Unidad de Comercialización de Armamento y Municiones), run by the Army and able to sell firearms. It is owned by, and is part of, the government. Although there is no legal limit on how many firearms an individual can own, once any individual has purchased ten firearms from the only retail governmental outlet, he cannot get a permit to buy any more. However, private party sales are legal and are largely uncontrolled, and wealthy gun-collecting citizens thus can legally buy more firearms from other private owners.

By pointing fingers at these united States, Mexico is let off the hook some for its incompetence in dealing with the drug cartels and its own corruption.  Gun owners here in America would never stand for these types of laws.  However, if fuzzy math can be used to emotionalize the issues and show that it is guns coming from America that are causing problems in Mexico, it then becomes these united States problem to stem the flow, that flow being very questionable.  As I’ve previously pointed out in my article linked above, the types of weapons that are finding their way into Mexico cannot be bought by the average Citizen.  These are rocket launchers, grenade launchers, fully automatic weapons, and other high powered munitions that only OUR Government, (the military), can sell.  No Citizen may purchase of possess these weapons.

According to the GAO’s report:

We determined the data provided to us by various U.S. agencies on these topics were sufficiently reliable to provide an overall indication of the magnitude and nature of the illicit firearms trade. We conducted this performance audit from July 2008 to June 2009 in accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards. Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain sufficient, appropriate evidence to provide a reasonable basis for our findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives. We believe that the evidence obtained provides a reasonable basis for our findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives.

In brief, Mr. Chairman, we found that U.S. efforts to combat the illicit trafficking of firearms to Mexico face several challenges, particularly relating to the planning and coordination of these efforts.

Available evidence indicates a large proportion of the firearms fueling Mexican drug violence originated in the United States, including a growing number of increasingly lethal weapons. While it is impossible to know how many firearms are illegally trafficked into Mexico in a given year, over 20,000, or around 87 percent, of firearms seized by Mexican authorities and traced over the past 5 years originated in the United States, according to data from ATF (see fig. 2). Over 90 percent of the firearms seized in Mexico and traced over the last 3 years have come from the United States.

There’s that fuzzy math again which gives such misleading data results. The key words in this section of the report are: increasingly lethal weapons. The average Citizen doesn’t get these kinds of weapons at either a gun store or a gun show. This is purely misleading information and I have to wonder at the audacity of those who put these reports together and call them factual. Just a tad bit further down the article you can find this little gem:

For example, many of these firearms are high-caliber and high-powered, such as AK and AR-15 type semiautomatic rifles. Many of these firearms come from gun shops and gun shows in Southwest border states, such as Texas, California, and Arizona, according to ATF officials and trace data.

Now, we’ve all heard the gun fights going on between the drug cartels and the Mexican army. Did those sound like AR15s to you? No, those were automatic weapons fire (video).  Or how about this shoot-out in Tiajuana video?  You can clearly make out the automatic weapons fire beneath the voice over of the reporters.  American Citizens cannot acquire automatic weapons legally.  To insinuate that these weapons came from “gun shops and gun shows in Southwest border states, such as Texas, California, and Arizona, according to ATF officials and trace data.”  Now, someone familiar with bullets and guns can tell you better than I what the ammunition of these weapons is from this video.  At .18 seconds into the video they pan across the weapons and bullets confiscated.  Those do not look like semi-automatic munitions although I couldn’t tell and AR-15 from an M-16.  However, those you see fighting are military personnel.  It serves to reason then that military weapons have been confiscated.  Bets that these weapons were sold to Mexican authorities by the U.S. Military???  And what of this Glenn Beck report (2007) on the Zeta gang?  These reports directly contradict the GAO’s report concerning weapons coming from these united States or that CITIZENS could get these types of weapons.

Obama protected but not meThe DOJ report includes prescription drug abuse.  I’d like to know how this relates to the drug cartel?  Do they now own doctors in this country?  I have a hard time believing that.  In their summary, the DOJ claims:

• Mexican and Colombian DTOs generate, remove, and launder between $18 billion and $39 billion in wholesale drug proceeds annually.
• Diversion of controlled prescription drugs costs insurance companies up to $72.5 billion annually, nearly two-thirds of which is paid by public insurers.

It seems that these statements above are because of pressure put on the DOJ by the drug companies. They don’t worry about what drugs do to the population only that it costs them, (drug companies cartels themselves), money. Anything for a buck, even American lives…

DTOs rapidly adapt to law enforcement and policy initiatives that disrupt their drug trafficking operations. Law enforcement and intelligence reporting revealed several strategic shifts by DTOs in drug production and trafficking in 2007 and early 2008, attributed in part to the success of counterdrug agencies in disrupting the operations of DTOs. Many of these shifts represent immediate new challenges for policymakers and resource planners. The National Drug Threat Assessment 2009 outlines the progress and emerging counterdrug challenges in detailed strategic findings, including the following:

We could get a handle on this simply by making drugs legal, taxing them, and controlling their disbursement. That would end the cartel’s dominance in this area as well as the violence across the border. Of course, it would take some actual thinking on the part of those in Congress, (they seem clearly incapable of such), and someone would actually have to listen to expert testimony, not to more politicians spouting more rhetoric!  Other countries that have legalized drugs find that they have the money to treat those who become addicts, crime rates go down, and there is no increase in drug usage because once you make them legal, the appeal is gone.  Prohibition has always given the opposite result than those it intended.

As if to prove my point above:

• Mexican DTOs represent the greatest organized crime threat to the United States. The influence of Mexican DTOs over domestic drug trafficking is unrivaled. In fact, intelligence estimates indicate a vast majority of the cocaine available in U.S. drug markets is smuggled by Mexican DTOs across the U.S.–Mexico border. Mexican DTOs control drug distribution in most U.S. cities, and they are gaining strength in markets that they do not yet control.

• Violent urban gangs control most retail-level drug distribution nationally, and some have relocated from inner cities to suburban and rural areas. Moreover, gangs are increasing their involvement in wholesale-level drug distribution, aided by their connections with Mexican and Asian DTOs.

Take away the reason for the cartels to make a profit here in these united States and you take away their ability to make money at it. This article from Rolling Stones shows a good example of how the drug lords know more about our law enforcement than we know about their business.  Notice the rifle in the picture?

Then there is a statement made by William F. Buckley.  Probably one of the greatest thinkers in these united states, Buckley long ago came to the conclusion that the war on drugs was a lost cause.  In fact, continuing these tactics is only pouring money down a black hole.  The cartels pay so well that even those in law enforcement can be corrupted.  In 1995 he was asked to make a statement to a panel of lawyers considering the drug question.

About ten years later, I deferred to a different allegiance, this one not the presumptive opposition to state intervention, but a different order of priorities. A conservative should evaluate the practicality of a legal constriction, as for instance in those states whose statute books continue to outlaw sodomy, which interdiction is unenforceable, making the law nothing more than print-on-paper. I came to the conclusion that the so-called war against drugs was not working, that it would not work absent a change in the structure of the civil rights to which we are accustomed and to which we cling as a valuable part of our patrimony. And that therefore if that war against drugs is not working, we should look into what effects the war has, a canvass of the casualties consequent on its failure to work. That consideration encouraged me to weigh utilitarian principles: the Benthamite calculus of pain and pleasure introduced by the illegalization of drugs.

The article is a very long one and cites other opinions such as Ethan A. Nadelmann, (Formerly in the Political Science Department at Princeton, he is now the director of the Lindesmith Center, a drug-policy research institute in New York City. He is the author of Cops across Borders: The Internationalization of U.S. Criminal Law Enforcement.) Kurt Schmoke a politician of the day. Joseph D. McNamara, chief of police in Kansas City, Mo., and San Jose, Calif. and author of 4 books.

There are so many more out there to refer to but this article is getting too long.  We could win this war in a very decisive manner if we could only change the way people think about them.  It is possible.  With the demand for thier wares gone, the cartels would either have to come up with a new demand or fade into oblivion.  But the GAO report and the DOJ report are both flawed and lead the reader astray.  They are ploys by the government to disarm Americans.  To get a better idea of what government agents do read this:

From the ‘Lectric Law Library’s stacks

King Rat: Playing Dirty In The War On Drugs


~ by justmytruth on June 23, 2009.

One Response to “GAO, DOJ, Fuzzy Math Used In Reports; More Gun Control?”

  1. Very nice infomations!. I like to read tis. Thank for your share. and nice to meet U.

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